In this post I tackle some problems concerning the capacities of predicting future events and performing actions based on these predictions.
What is prediction in the mind? How does it come about? What are the necessary mental faculties that allow for predicting future events? How does prediction relate to other mental phenomena such as understanding and simulation? The same can be asked about expectation and anticipation. What are the relations between these three, seemingly similar concepts?
The ideas and speculations are based on Complex Mind Theory, which most of the posts on this blog are about.
Mind is a complex dynamical system of mental events that happen in the brain. How can we characterize important mental phenomena in this framework, such as understanding or confusion? What prediction can we derive from a theory of the mind founded on complexity science, more specifically as it relates to these mental phenomena?
In this short essay I try to show that complicated, nontrivial mental phenomena of understanding and confusion can be elegantly characterized from the perspective of complexity science. I also make an attempt at pointing to real predictions of the Complex Mind Theory that can be translated into experimental procedures that would eventually help in deepening of our understanding of the mind and the brain.